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Old 03-18-2020, 05:32 PM
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Steve Shauger Steve Shauger is offline
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Originally Posted by Lee Stewart View Post
The death rate from seasonal flu is typically around 0.1% in the U.S

If the death rate was for same for CV19 as it is for seasonal flu then only 203 people would have died, not 8141. Let that sink in for a moment to understand why flattening the CV-19 curve by social distancing, business closures and staying at home are so important



One variable not factored in to US statistics are the # of people who are infected that have not been tested (due to lack of kits or symptoms). Hopefully the death rate will drastically drop.
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Old 04-01-2020, 07:36 PM
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One variable not factored in to US statistics are the # of people who are infected that have not been tested (due to lack of kits or symptoms). Hopefully the death rate will drastically drop.

I know this post was made a couple of weeks ago, but a thought occurred to me in reference to comparisons of COVID19 to H1N1. Yes, the fatality rate for CV19 will probably drop because more mild cases will be disclosed through testing, but how many H1N1 cases also went undetected? I don't recall a big push for widespread H1N1 testing back in 2009 (although that was ten years ago, so maybe I'm just not remembering it). So I guess my point is that it may not be a valid comparison, since we don't really know how many undetected, relatively mild cases of either illness there were/are. However, I have read that CV19 has a mush higher transmission rate, i.e., much more contagious, and the fact that a person can walk around spreading it for days before feeling any symptoms makes it very insidious and sneaky. I think that's what makes it so dangerous.
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